Hospitable-Pike
0x1123988044c2286476963567beeb873286890785
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.33
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 13-20?
47 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
18 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
15 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
11 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.28
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$22.33Jan 7, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$5.28Jan 7, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$0.44Dec 23, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$2.78Dec 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$3.00Dec 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$5.53Dec 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.10Nov 28, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$0.04Nov 25, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.20Nov 25, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.26Nov 25, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$0.20Nov 25, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.05Nov 25, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$0.38Nov 25, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$11.54Nov 25, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.60Nov 25, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.36Nov 25, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.12Nov 25, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?$1.00Nov 24, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?$4.94Nov 24, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $7.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".