Modest-Crumb
0x113adeabb0b5ccc51acc909e95758bbeaec189c0
active
Quality score
72/100
Open positions
6
Open notional
$144.30
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$384.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1804 shares @ 28.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$144.30
$-365.75
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
60744 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-182.23
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
22566 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-499.72
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
20000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
6753 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-299.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$209.7042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$299.0042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$199.9086d ago
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$299.8596d ago
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$299.8496d ago
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$510.05101d ago
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$510.05104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.5K139d ago
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00220d ago
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$340.00221d ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$525.00233d ago
- REWARD$14.93235d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$24.59235d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.05235d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$50.00235d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$420.00235d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$3.38235d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$90.00235d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$0.04235d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$15.00235d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $132.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 235d ago
- Last active
- 42d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.