Foolish-Outset
0x113e50ee8faadcc60155bc818f1e6492739f8bfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$58.39
Total PnL
$-2.33
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$3.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$3.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
3 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
3 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.7¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
4 shares @ 70.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.87
$0.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?$1.54Aug 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.75Aug 4, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.14Aug 4, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$0.67Aug 4, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$1.55Aug 4, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4?$1.27Aug 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?$1.54Aug 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.45Aug 4, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.15Aug 4, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?$1.02Aug 4, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?$1.54Aug 4, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?$1.53Aug 4, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?$1.53Aug 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?$1.54Aug 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5?$1.53Aug 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5?$1.53Aug 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?$1.54Aug 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?$1.53Aug 4, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?$1.57Aug 4, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4?$2.11Aug 4, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.