Notable-Cormorant
0x11455b45c6a2116377f0e6acd96d3fb692cda858
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.37
Total PnL
$-52.28
Realised
$1.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
14 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.37
$-0.93
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.30
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
167 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
161 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
50 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?
32 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $125 before 2026??
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 4?
20 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.28
- NO
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.30Mar 25, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.05Mar 25, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?$0.29Mar 25, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 3, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.93Jan 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 28, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$1.50Dec 26, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$2.53Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?$1.25Dec 19, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" or "Venezuela" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?$2.00Dec 19, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.01Dec 19, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$2.24Dec 19, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KB Home (KBH) beat quarterly earnings?$1.60Dec 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FactSet Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.27Dec 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?$2.00Dec 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$2.17Dec 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$1.07Dec 15, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$0.43Dec 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FactSet Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Dec 15, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?$1.97Dec 15, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.