Bowed-Topic
0x114e3557708df69d221e37cd9c1d42084f1d9af3
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$28.75
Total PnL
$0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be a Powerball jackpot winner by August 31?
15 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$15.14
$0.14
- NO
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?
2 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed abolished in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Tether acquire Circle before September?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?$2.00Aug 31, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Syria by August 31?$5.00Aug 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a Powerball jackpot winner by August 31?$15.00Aug 31, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Syria before April?$1.05Aug 31, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before July?$1.04Aug 31, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?$1.04Aug 31, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced before April?$1.01Aug 31, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above in June?$1.01Aug 31, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy MSNBC?$1.02Aug 31, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$0.00Aug 31, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.11Aug 31, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?$2.00Aug 31, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMAndrew Tate arrested before April?$2.00Aug 31, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?$2.00Aug 31, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$2.08Aug 31, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?$3.01Aug 31, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill TikTok be banned again before May?$0.00Aug 31, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill TikTok be banned again before May?$1.00Aug 31, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$2.00Jul 31, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Tether acquire Circle before September?$1.00Jul 31, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".