Ornery-Arrest
0x115054391e54ba8e61e603f5db8ff6b5f148e701
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$55.20
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-218.70
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.03
$41.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.69
$-4.13
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
66 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.48
$-5.45
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on April 5?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?
1295 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.16
- SC PADERBORN 07
Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (W)
771 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- TDK
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)
588 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-18.03
- YES
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-22?
513 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-231.88
- ROCKETS
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
440 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.