Cautious-Geek
0x115d3c697882bb5f8ae95a93140172139e8c04fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.60
Total PnL
$-87.22
Realised
$0.63
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.13
$-0.38
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-4.55
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-3.25
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-1.45
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.75
- YES
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
199 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-69.04
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump post "AI / Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week?
13 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $116.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.