Simplistic-Start
0x11638a6eb6e0adebd6e8c251f99fb81233f628f8
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.84
Total PnL
$-16.63
Realised
$1.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 9?
40 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$7.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on May 9?
180 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.97
$-0.63
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 9?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 9?
50 shares @ 11.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.27
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 4?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?
75 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 4?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on May 4?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 9?$8.0013m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 9?$0.4527m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 9?$0.3529m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 9?$1.0046m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on May 9?$3.361h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?$0.962h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on May 9?$0.242h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on May 9?$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 9?$1.332h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 9?$4.412h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 9?$0.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?$3.126h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?$1.147h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?$1.288h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?$1.178h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?$1.639h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?$0.479h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?$0.2413h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8?$0.4613h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8?$0.1013h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 13m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
