Smug-Fireplace
0x1168d7eaf098310ecc6a43064ea661eaf663bf86
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.75
Realised
$2.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Turkish president on September 25?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in NC on September 24?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.83
- NO
Will Trump say "Seven Wars" during events with Turkish president on September 25?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 9, 10AM ET
5 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4 shares @ 71.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 12PM ET
4 shares @ 78.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.26Dec 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.20Dec 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.10Dec 14, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$3.13Dec 14, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.00Dec 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.54Dec 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.48Dec 14, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10AM ET$2.15Dec 4, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10AM ET$2.00Dec 4, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.00Dec 3, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.30Dec 3, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.