Tired-Organising
0x117f7c2636125149e7a00f17ef2d04589f564a20
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-870.99
Realised
$0.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
1125 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1050 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$52.74Mar 24, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$71.74Mar 24, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$4.33Mar 23, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.43Mar 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.11Mar 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$3.14Mar 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$8.01Mar 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$13.20Mar 20, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$6.54Mar 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$20.00Mar 20, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$5.11Mar 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.01Mar 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$20.87Mar 18, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.70Mar 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.75Mar 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.18Mar 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$10.74Mar 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$48.00Mar 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$28.17Mar 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.29Mar 17, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".