Lumpy-Thief
0x11848886fbdca18b4b5eaa6a48faa00f0f30a213
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?
35 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-17.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
34 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-17.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1AM ET
30 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-15.06
- NO
Will the April 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
28 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-18.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96000 and $98000 on May 2?
28 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-16.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1AM ET$15.06Jul 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on May 8?$12.83May 7, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?$17.55May 7, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$23.23May 7, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$20.43May 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?$15.70May 7, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 8?$17.22May 6, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $1,800 on May 9?$0.77May 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?$3.72May 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLChampions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)$16.45May 6, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLChampions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)$17.08May 6, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $1,800 on May 9?$1.28May 5, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?$5.08May 5, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYChampions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)$17.98May 5, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 4?$31.37May 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 6?$17.14May 5, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYChampions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)$15.94May 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 6?$17.77May 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$4.12May 4, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$11.31May 3, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $14.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 04:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".