Warped-Math
0x118c31cae4181f2d4b675e20df3c5efa89b22b1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-388.22
Realised
$20.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 10?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
207 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 13?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 25?
196 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18?
158 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-91.41
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?
143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 13?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 13?
90 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 8?
74 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on June 26?$3.20Jun 26, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 26?$3.66Jun 26, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2AM ET$5.20Jun 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$3.08Mar 31, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$9.00Mar 31, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$4.00Mar 31, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$7.71Mar 31, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$4.00Mar 31, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.