Colorless-Reclamation
0x118d9ca8a4213533236905b29d5a77328b55aaea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$5.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12AM ET
1000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-529.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10PM ET
470 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
300 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-207.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
300 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
280 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-28.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
200 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-136.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-79.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22?$99.96May 16, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22?$99.40Apr 20, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 April 6-12?$99.99Apr 20, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 April 6-12?$99.90Apr 8, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $1B one day after launch?$100.00Apr 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $50M one day after launch?$2.25Mar 29, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $50M one day after launch?$25.75Mar 29, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $1B one day after launch?$99.80Mar 29, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$127.00Mar 29, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$126.87Mar 10, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$106.31Mar 10, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$46.77Mar 10, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$17.09Mar 10, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$14.92Mar 10, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.0KMar 10, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$935.55Mar 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$18.15Mar 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$18.15Mar 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$18.55Mar 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$18.55Mar 9, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $58.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.