Official-Majority
0x1191fabce7781f4179ddd3c205ad665cba79c092
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-35.1K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
7479 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.2K
$278.63
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
221271 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.6K
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
7690 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?
4696 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-129.99
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
3000 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-214.99
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1600 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-509.40
- YES
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
219 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-97.77
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?
162 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
150 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$1.07Jun 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$102.22Jun 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$49.09Jun 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.9KJun 3, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.6KMay 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.1KMay 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$455.61May 11, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.0KMay 8, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$28.50Mar 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$82.57Mar 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$31.97Mar 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.08Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.08Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.08Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.08Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.08Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.08Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$13.48Mar 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$15.52Mar 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$19.24Mar 14, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $185.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.