Alert-Pillbox
0x1192c32a828cd14481a1b2cd173a24cc30c217e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$88.18
Total PnL
$-27.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
66 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$66.22
$1.46
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$17.24
$2.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$3.72
$1.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$64.76Mar 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$15.00Jan 31, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Jan 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Jan 26, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Jan 26, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$0.78Jan 24, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Jan 24, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$1.00Jan 24, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Jan 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 22, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$15.02Jan 21, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$33.38Jan 21, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$6.00Jan 14, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".