Only-Retrospective
0x119917bfaea2d3f4be242d96f6058c3937d7d5f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$972.67
Total PnL
$-827.82
Realised
$-127.72
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
67078 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$670.78
$-318.35
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2006 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$157.45
$-13.10
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8047 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.59
$-2.75
- YES
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
12531 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.86
$6.27
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
114877 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-144.63
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
31472 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-54.98
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?
12573 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.57
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
9182 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.18
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 6?
6472 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.67Jun 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.11Jun 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.18Jun 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$23.81Jun 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.89Jun 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$2.95Jun 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$0.60Jun 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$2.33Jun 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$0.77Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$1.73Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$10.93Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$3.23Jun 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$4.07Jun 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$20.79Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$9.97Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.64Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$4.13Jun 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$0.48Jun 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$22.39Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.