Sniveling-Towel
0x119ccb743016d5799694f8b08f2df3374a622d4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$44.33
Total PnL
$-922.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.97
$0.97
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
238 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$8.19
$-1.81
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$6.88
$-3.13
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
78333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-235.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
12000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
11111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$0.44Jun 16, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$10.28Jun 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$10.29Jun 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$10.29Jun 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$10.29Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-19?$10.29Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$10.28Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$10.25Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$10.27Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$10.28Jun 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$10.27Jun 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$10.27Jun 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$10.28Jun 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$10.26Jun 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$10.24Jun 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$10.26Jun 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$10.26Jun 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$174.82Jun 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$10.28Jun 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$10.29Jun 15, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $32.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.