0x11a617951855e63ba1e3a686655c1ca060a87492
0x11a617951855e63ba1e3a686655c1ca060a87492
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$17.63
Total PnL
$-34.93
Realised
$-8.20
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 10?
10 shares @ 62.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$10.00
$3.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 70°F or higher on February 14?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$5.00
$2.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
1 shares @ 74.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$1.38
$0.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 9?
146 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on February 10?
69 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
46 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 13?
19 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
11 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
10 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.25Feb 16, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.25Feb 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.88Feb 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.06Feb 14, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.90Feb 14, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 10?$0.00Feb 14, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 10?$0.00Feb 14, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 10?$0.00Feb 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$4.50Feb 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 14?$0.60Feb 14, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.