Smart-Waterspout
0x11aeab6c05ac7254bfb15821af82e80e7de7c4c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$10.21
Total PnL
$-196.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 88.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
5011 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- AVATAR
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
926 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?
268 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
152 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$5.00Jan 6, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$26.00Jan 3, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 2, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$25.00Dec 22, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$20.00Dec 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$0.00Dec 19, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?$0.00Dec 19, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?$10.87Dec 19, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$20.00Dec 14, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$5.00Dec 14, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$31.25Dec 14, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?$46.94Dec 14, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?$5.00Dec 7, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$20.00Dec 7, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Dec 7, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$6.75Dec 6, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 10:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".