0x11afa0ac5228e741181fbf5e4e1c55235f9821db
0x11afa0ac5228e741181fbf5e4e1c55235f9821db
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-275.75
Realised
$-31.59
Win rate
0%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 15?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 14?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 15?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 14?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 15?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 14?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 15?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 9AM ET
525 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 1AM ET
525 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on January 23?$4.27Jan 30, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 24?$4.82Jan 30, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4PM ET$4.27Jan 30, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 26?$9.93Jan 30, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on January 26?$11.45Jan 30, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 26?$1.48Jan 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 25, 4PM ET$1.49Jan 25, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 26?$0.01Jan 25, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 26?$1.49Jan 25, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 25, 12PM ET$1.49Jan 25, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 25, 12PM ET$1.42Jan 25, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET$1.49Jan 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET$1.14Jan 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET$0.35Jan 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET$1.01Jan 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 25, 9AM ET$1.19Jan 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 25, 9AM ET$1.49Jan 25, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 25, 4AM ET$4.27Jan 25, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6AM ET$1.49Jan 25, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 6AM ET$1.40Jan 25, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.