0x11b2a5df5f36f8573b1c3408540a3c812b7b6d33
0x11b2a5df5f36f8573b1c3408540a3c812b7b6d33
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-219.07
Realised
$60.17
Win rate
97%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OH MY GOD
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner
845 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- PLAYTIME
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
845 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
845 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- CASPER RUUD
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud
845 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
347 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- EX-HEROIC
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winner
338 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.34
- MIAMI MARLINS
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
154 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- BOTIC VAN DE ZANDSCHULP
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys
154 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- KATIE VOLYNETS
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva
154 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?
154 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$2.00Jun 30, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$1.83Jun 27, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$1.23Jun 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$0.51Jun 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.36Jun 24, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.43Jun 24, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.12Jun 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.82Jun 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.79Jun 21, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1.73Jun 20, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1.26Jun 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$0.47Jun 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$2.70Jun 20, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1.87Jun 20, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.72Jun 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.84Jun 19, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4.84Jun 19, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.63Jun 19, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.63Jun 17, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.66Jun 16, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
58 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.