Scratchy-Correspondent
0x11b6f68bbdee18d1b9f6932cf0d205ce5e470cf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.07
Total PnL
$-0.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.90
$-0.03
- YES
Tread FDV above $5M one day after launch
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.70
$-0.55
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.48
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTread FDV above $5M one day after launch$2.25Jul 11, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$2.62Jun 30, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?$1.43Jun 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?$1.28Jun 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$2.42Jun 19, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.58Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$2.46Jun 12, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMTucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez$2.47Jun 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez$2.01Jun 11, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-29?$2.33Jun 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-29?$1.64May 29, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMZagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery$1.27May 29, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$2.70May 29, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery$1.01May 16, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?$1.01May 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?$1.00May 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$2.21Apr 28, 21:23 UTC
- REWARD$9.49Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Apr 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?$169.61Apr 17, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $323.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.