Ample-Stab
0x11b9f18207c6f875747b5ee3208346c780db521f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-485.21
Realised
$-28.44
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
368 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-32.87
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
325 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
73 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
54 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
50 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
43 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
43 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$21.43Aug 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$21.04Jul 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.27Jul 23, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$31.54Jul 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$20.59Jul 23, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.13Jul 23, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.13Jul 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.14Jul 23, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$16.45Jul 23, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.34Jul 23, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$52.36Jul 23, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$41.40Jul 23, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$49.78Jul 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$41.37Jul 23, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$30.94Jul 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$20.66Jul 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$20.46Jul 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$19.39Jul 20, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.34Jul 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.45Jul 17, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $37.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.