Vain-Cause
0x11bb5c484bd9f1df6051b034d092b5b290e29878
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$33.39
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 25?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$18.23
$0.02
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
15 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.16
$0.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
20750 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.4K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $116k November 3-9?$0.00Nov 25, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $93k November 3-9?$0.00Nov 25, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120k November 3-9?$0.00Nov 25, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 25?$18.21Nov 25, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$18.21Nov 25, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$17.83Nov 12, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?$1.22Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?$1.23Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $2.50 September 29-October 5?$1.37Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?$1.37Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $2.70 September 29-October 5?$1.37Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $260 September 29-October 5?$1.57Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $200 September 29-October 5?$1.57Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$1.74Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $270 September 29-October 5?$2.12Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $250 September 29-October 5?$2.12Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $2.80 September 29-October 5?$2.13Nov 12, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$14.95Oct 5, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?$1.37Oct 5, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?$1.22Oct 5, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".