Fragrant-Oldie
0x11c845e14e46efca7d6df7358e0a18491e10be84
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-494.70
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will 'Elden Ring: Shadow of the Erdtree' win Game of the Year?
1888 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-70.57
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?
1463 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-219.47
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
593 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-221.94
- OVER
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
317 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-136.31
- CLIPPERS
Suns vs. Clippers
309 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-262.49
- YES
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?
205 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-108.71
- NIP
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
184 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-160.38
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
83 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.35
- JAZZ
76ers vs. Jazz
62 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.62
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
37 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-14.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$433.67May 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$427.00May 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$426.72May 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$385.20May 11, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$385.27May 11, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$380.00May 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?$4.89May 10, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$375.70May 10, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$12.28May 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$4.06May 10, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$101.88May 10, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5$105.81May 10, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5$68.09May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?$65.23May 10, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.84May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$0.83May 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$5.51May 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$60.50May 9, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?$16.27May 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?$1.00May 9, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $96.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".