Thoughtful-Policy
0x11cb7da26758f72ed12caef77910f51cd4e1e8c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$24.88
Total PnL
$-254.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.61
$0.18
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.32Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.73Jun 13, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.48Jun 12, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.07Jun 8, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03Jun 8, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.10Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?$1.01Jun 6, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?$1.00Jun 6, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?$1.00Jun 6, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?$1.01Jun 6, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?$1.01Jun 6, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?$1.01Jun 6, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?$1.01Jun 6, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?$1.01Jun 6, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?$1.00Jun 6, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?$1.00Jun 6, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?$2.01Jun 6, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?$2.01Jun 6, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$1.43Jun 6, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.02Jun 6, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.