Offbeat-Stem
0x11d6d1702e6812644594cb27b81e5dbe6584e50e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-684.47
Realised
$-5.47
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ARTUR MINEV
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- POLONA HERCOG
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondar
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- KOKORO ISOMURA
Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomura
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DALIBOR SVRCINA
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Thomas Faurel
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
110 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- SAN DIEGO FC
Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CHRISTIAN EDWARDS
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$21.28Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$0.38Jul 12, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$5.09Jul 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$6.31Jul 11, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)$7.45Jul 11, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)$18.51Jul 11, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)$5.11Jul 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds$10.12Jul 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$1.02Jul 11, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$6.93Jul 11, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds$5.06Jul 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)$6.98Jul 11, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)$5.03Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$8.76Jul 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)$7.13Jul 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)$1.01Jul 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Farid Basharat win by KO or TKO?$1.04Jul 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$5.05Jul 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)$5.12Jul 11, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)$5.08Jul 10, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.