Glamorous-Heroine
0x11df8c79258ac2a129f959e619f20a035aec7691
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.45
Total PnL
$-20.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
14 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.45
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 19?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 6?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 26?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Military action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 11?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- VIVO KEYD STARS
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season
11 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$14.40Jul 18, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$110.22Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$110.01Jun 11, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$110.22May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$110.01May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$108.11May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$108.00May 22, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$109.11May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$109.01May 21, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$109.11May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$109.01May 19, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$42.04May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$42.00May 13, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 9?$81.08May 9, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on May 9?$28.03May 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 9?$81.01May 8, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$2.60May 8, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on May 9?$28.00May 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$112.11May 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$112.01May 6, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $77.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.