0x11e7d294a58f6e3ce1eed119d7bfb571d499f559
0x11e7d294a58f6e3ce1eed119d7bfb571d499f559
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$70.02
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$-245.22
Win rate
18%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
117 shares @ 63.1¢·now 42.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$49.89
$-23.78
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
30 shares @ 82.6¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.13
$-4.71
- YES
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
3373 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-682.39
- YES
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
2311 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-121.48
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
1807 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-494.97
- TEAM FALCONS
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)
1526 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-473.09
- G2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
1472 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-505.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?
1468 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-587.95
- AURORA
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
1309 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-561.43
- MIBR
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
1252 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-235.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$2.00Jul 23, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$2.00Jul 23, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$2.84Jul 23, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$20.85Jul 22, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$45.76Jul 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$4.16Jul 22, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$7.05Jul 22, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$3.24Jul 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$18.71Jul 22, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$249.97Jul 21, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$173.87Jul 20, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$56.04Jul 20, 17:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.17Jul 15, 17:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $21.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.