Optimal-Cascade
0x11ea2ebf6b27fcc91e232ce039a8fa210b6b6b8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$2.06
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$64.59
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$-0.64
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
44855 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-999.96
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
32146 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.7K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
14479 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-994.39
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
12203 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-124.98
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
10611 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.59
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
10085 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-124.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
10037 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-137.52
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
10002 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-302.51
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
9284 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-123.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.70Apr 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$180.00Apr 25, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$182.29Apr 25, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$100.00Apr 25, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$136.00Apr 25, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$171.95Apr 25, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$135.00Apr 25, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$100.00Apr 25, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$166.00Apr 25, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$100.00Apr 25, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$85.61Apr 25, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$49.00Apr 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$15.00Apr 25, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$15.00Apr 25, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$20.68Apr 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$18.00Apr 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$55.25Apr 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$36.00Apr 25, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$150.84Apr 25, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$75.00Apr 25, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $75.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".