0x11f39c8357205c849bafc8ee6b36e9505991aff5
0x11f39c8357205c849bafc8ee6b36e9505991aff5
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- GUATEMALA
Spread: Guatemala (-1.5)
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-04?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 3.5
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5$1.03Jun 5, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Peru: O/U 3.5$1.03Jun 5, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5$1.03Jun 5, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMSlovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5$3.57Jun 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBenin vs. Niger: O/U 2.5$1.03Jun 5, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5$1.03Jun 5, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSlovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5$1.03Jun 5, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMAS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Both Teams to Score$2.44Jun 5, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Guatemala (-1.5)$1.04Jun 4, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?$1.04Jun 4, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Both Teams to Score$1.03Jun 4, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score$3.04Jun 4, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win on 2026-06-04?$1.04Jun 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score$2.04Jun 4, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-04?$1.04Jun 4, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win on 2026-06-04?$2.05Jun 4, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?$1.03Jun 4, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win on 2026-06-04?$1.04Jun 4, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.