Mealy-Pilaf
0x11fab53dc6f1d19400678a372f2d71519deeb23f
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$486.31
Total PnL
$-20.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
460 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$460.23
$0.69
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.01
$0.01
- NO
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?
16 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will anyone say "Immigrant" or "Migrant" 10+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$8.98Jun 28, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.00Jun 28, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$11.00Jun 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$230.02Jun 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$229.57Jun 28, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$1.61Jun 28, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.02Jun 28, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?$12.00Jun 28, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?$11.87Mar 26, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.00Mar 26, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?$559.17Mar 26, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?$558.05Feb 18, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$558.05Feb 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$556.93Jan 21, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$2.51Jan 21, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.30Jan 21, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17.93Jan 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$104.37Dec 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$9.60Dec 9, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$12.00Dec 9, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $104.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.