Recent-Clothes
0x11fc9d5230b428cc04a3f279a2eabc203c89d31f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.22
Total PnL
$-49.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
6 shares @ 48.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$6.22
$3.22
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
503 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?
190 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?
137 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
90 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.00Dec 5, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$16.00Oct 15, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$15.00Feb 4, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$7.00Jan 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$5.00Jan 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 9, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$2.00Jan 9, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$1.52Dec 24, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.23Dec 20, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.34Dec 10, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.23Dec 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$1.32Dec 9, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.