0x11fcdcb86a6bbe97388b5351d4cfef107fa38262
0x11fcdcb86a6bbe97388b5351d4cfef107fa38262
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.3K
Realised
$-2.5K
Win rate
2%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
7469 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-137.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 18?
921 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-460.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 18?
921 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-460.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 18?
921 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-460.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 18?
921 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-460.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or below on July 18?
921 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-460.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 21?
817 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-408.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C or higher on July 21?
817 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-408.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 21?
767 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-383.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 19?
763 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-381.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?$8.60Aug 14, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?$3.94Aug 14, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$0.00Aug 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$3.73Aug 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$0.31Aug 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$1.15Aug 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$7.06Aug 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$0.03Aug 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$1.20Aug 14, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?$47.96Aug 14, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?$1.04Aug 14, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?$12.96Aug 14, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$4.76Aug 14, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$3.40Aug 14, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$9.13Aug 14, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?$4.60Aug 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?$0.38Aug 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$12.43Aug 14, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$4.37Aug 14, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?$14.23Aug 14, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
46 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.