Confused-Nit
0x12009a8c163b6aef58cd5c4df5d4dd5fd549aaf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$134.11
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10728 shares @ 36.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$134.11
$-3.8K
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
45004 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
18294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-627.03
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4873 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-654.99
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
3844 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
77 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$298.02Jun 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$159.28Jun 9, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$74.61Jun 8, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.10Jun 4, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.60Jun 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.03Jun 4, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.75May 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$51.99May 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.29May 12, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.38May 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.80May 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.53May 11, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.79May 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.97May 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.38May 8, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.03May 8, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.85May 8, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02May 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.04May 8, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.56May 8, 04:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $71.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.