Tame-Rank
0x120b3e2e98fc4fe8c383c70867fd635669f1ee03
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$154.9K
Total PnL
$-869.03
Realised
$160.80
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?
6792 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.4K
$93.19
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?
5482 shares @ 92.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.3K
$204.52
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
5109 shares @ 89.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.8K
$269.92
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?
4732 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.5K
$59.15
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-12 House seat?
4331 shares @ 92.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.1K
$93.96
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?
4000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.8K
$74.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?
3877 shares @ 92.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.7K
$122.24
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?
3686 shares @ 92.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.5K
$88.52
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?
3512 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.3K
$157.09
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?
3322 shares @ 90.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.3K
$236.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?$78.25Jul 24, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?$79.71Jul 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?$31.22Jul 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?$72.64Jul 24, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?$27.26Jul 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?$85.45Jul 23, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IL-05 House seat?$85.45Jul 22, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?$93.00Jul 22, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?$94.20Jul 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IL-05 House seat?$94.00Jul 20, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?$94.00Jul 19, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$381.60Jul 19, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$686.60Jul 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IL-05 House seat?$36.66Jul 18, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?$34.85Jul 18, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?$37.60Jul 18, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?$7.04Jul 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?$15.98Jul 17, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?$7.04Jul 16, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?$1.4KJul 16, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $258.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.