Muted-Cardigan
0x120b8aafe1870b6260ecec217eb2d3159f7d5311
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-664.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?
2500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-275.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
2180 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-215.33
- YES
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 4PM ET
270 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-126.89
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
117 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.11
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
70 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-27.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 8, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?$15.99Apr 19, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?$531.56Apr 19, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?$397.34Apr 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?$28.50Apr 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$0.16Jan 3, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$1.20Jan 3, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMGold (GC) Up or Down on December 31?$25.00Jan 3, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$9.54Jan 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$8.20Jan 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$4.05Jan 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$4.00Jan 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$7.90Jan 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$3.90Jan 2, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMGold (GC) Up or Down on December 30?$185.00Dec 31, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on December 31?$3.65Dec 31, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on December 31?$7.20Dec 31, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on December 31?$3.55Dec 31, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on December 31?$3.50Dec 31, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on December 30?$98.75Dec 30, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $29.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.