Back-Faculty
0x120f75f0b34d1537a5c95586f37185bdab3ad31f
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$11.66
Total PnL
$-14.59
Realised
$8.37
Win rate
89%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
160 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.12
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$1.27
$0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 1?
30 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.17
$-0.33
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.80
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 1?
140 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.77
$-0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.65
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.52
$-0.82
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
10 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.43
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?$1.05Jul 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?$0.45Jul 1, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?$0.01Jul 1, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?$0.95Jul 1, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?$0.90Jul 1, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?$0.49Jul 1, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 2?$0.70Jun 30, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?$0.52Jun 30, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?$0.09Jun 30, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?$1.35Jun 30, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?$0.23Jun 30, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?$0.85Jun 30, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?$0.59Jun 30, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?$0.06Jun 30, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?$0.55Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?$0.41Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?$0.25Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?$0.55Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?$0.22Jun 30, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 07:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.