Frightened-Thirst
0x1216a5d0bc3e7ea107355c12a8415e8470c7b3fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$40.21
Total PnL
$-5.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 24?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$8.02
$0.02
- NO
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.06
$0.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
4 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.06
$0.06
- YES
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$4.00Feb 24, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 24?$8.00Feb 24, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?$10.00Feb 24, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?$6.00Feb 24, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 31?$6.01Feb 24, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 31?$7.01Feb 24, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$8.02Feb 24, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 31?$9.02Feb 24, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 31?$6.00Jan 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$6.00Jan 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 31?$7.00Jan 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 31?$9.00Jan 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$8.00Jan 30, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $430?$2.00Jan 30, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$7.02Jan 30, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 16?$8.01Jan 30, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 16?$9.01Jan 30, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$10.01Jan 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$7.00Jan 16, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $4B one day after launch?$7.00Jan 16, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.