Mature-Geyser
0x121972b0185e9f9ba510ce9fa8081a6318d0c6a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$49.09
Total PnL
$-397.86
Realised
$-84.52
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?
49 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$49.09
$1.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 21?
269 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on December 10?
269 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 28?
268 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 22?
267 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?
256 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
- UP
Solana Up or Down on December 1?
245 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
238 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.23
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 22?
230 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?$47.47Aug 10, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 16?$3.31Jul 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?$1.55Jul 4, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 1?$44.56Jul 4, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 1?$43.31Jul 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 24?$2.87Jun 23, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$57.98May 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$0.06May 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$55.14May 21, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$52.41May 21, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$49.37May 19, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?$1.89May 18, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$42.00May 10, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 10?$0.00May 2, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$40.32Apr 26, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 19?$46.58Apr 26, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 19?$44.11Apr 19, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 28?$52.29Apr 19, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 25?$0.00Apr 10, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1?$2.98Mar 31, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.