Extra-Small-Training
0x12266b119c66bc1b343373ed6660154ec58898fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-941.38
Realised
$97.30
Win rate
79%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4AM ET
1309 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET
1042 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1PM ET
670 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
561 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5PM ET
493 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8AM ET
445 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7AM ET
429 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET
421 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10AM ET
370 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
366 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$0.50Mar 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$2.00Mar 18, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$3.00Mar 18, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?$0.64Mar 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?$3.18Mar 18, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$2.77Mar 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$2.00Mar 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?$1.00Mar 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?$2.00Mar 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?$2.00Mar 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$2.97Mar 17, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17?$5.01Mar 17, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$2.00Mar 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6PM ET$2.94Mar 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6PM ET$1.32Mar 16, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
58 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.