Vivacious-Meter
0x122b87ce434f7a2852272f4b55f30181015c1320
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.47
Total PnL
$-101.53
Realised
$2.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.76
$2.76
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.70
$1.70
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
172 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
152 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?
57 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?
49 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?
39 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?$0.00Feb 15, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?$3.23Feb 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$5.21Feb 9, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$13.00Jan 28, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?$13.17Jan 27, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$7.50Jan 27, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?$30.00Jan 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?$4.08Jan 23, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?$4.34Jan 23, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?$3.23Jan 22, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$5.00Jan 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$3.13Jan 22, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$3.00Jan 22, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$5.23Jan 22, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".