Competent-Haste
0x122c3b3a595a496bdc1ed03d60ebf3957997099f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$25.00
Total PnL
$-135.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$0.10
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Rockets
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.00
$4.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$1.10
- YES
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
298 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Bitcoin all time high day after election?
115 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2024$0.00
$-58.55
- YES
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?
8 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.90May 2, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.90May 2, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$5.30May 2, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$6.00May 2, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.41Nov 15, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMAspinall vs. Gane$0.00Nov 15, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMAspinall vs. Gane$13.16Nov 15, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 24, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$20.00Oct 24, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$37.04Jun 20, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $13.16Jun 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMSwell airdrop by September 30?$0.00Nov 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high day after election?$58.55Nov 6, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$50.00Nov 6, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMScroll airdrop in 2024?$0.00Nov 6, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$32.99Nov 6, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$51.85Oct 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScroll airdrop in 2024?$0.15Oct 17, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMScroll airdrop by September 30?$23.32Oct 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?$25.00Sep 28, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $22.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 05:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.