Untrue-Soup
0x123b381ea19926c85a4613eec39d6206d396cf1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$320.38
Total PnL
$0.09
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on April 21?
121 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$121.23
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C on May 30?
100 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$100.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 27?
78 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$78.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 30?
19 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$19.28
$0.02
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.54
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 30?$19.26May 29, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C on May 30?$100.01May 29, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 27?$78.00May 26, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on April 21?$121.00Apr 20, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$665.31Apr 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$665.98Apr 16, 12:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$568.00Apr 13, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$568.57Apr 11, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Apr 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$782.48Apr 9, 15:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Apr 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$783.28Apr 8, 07:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$555.52Apr 3, 12:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$556.08Apr 2, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $374.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.