0x124a0620ac341202ccd94a9c7adbb2a094431332
0x124a0620ac341202ccd94a9c7adbb2a094431332
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$140.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
130 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$130.00
$23.40
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$10.00
$1.80
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1800 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
422 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-160.14
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$8.20Jul 25, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$106.60Jun 5, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada tariffs on China in effect before July?$1.11Jun 5, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$100.00Jun 5, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China trade deal before June?$0.00May 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China trade deal before June?$26.00May 12, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$61.63May 6, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$36.37May 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China trade deal before June?$81.00May 6, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?$0.00May 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$102.00May 2, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMIndia military strike on Pakistan today?$20.00May 1, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove tariff on China before May?$100.00May 1, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$200.00May 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military strike on Pakistan today?$17.60Apr 30, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jaxson Dart get drafted by the Steelers?$0.00Apr 27, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?$14.34Apr 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?$1.06Apr 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaxson Dart get drafted by the Steelers?$0.84Apr 25, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaxson Dart get drafted by the Steelers?$1.30Apr 25, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 04:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.