Quixotic-Patina
0x126085ba6f7caa3900bf185aec1087b535bc62a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$31.09
Total PnL
$-180.22
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
65 shares @ 37.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.07
$0.39
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$10.30Jun 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$8.95Jun 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$5.93Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$2.75Jun 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$3.10Jun 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$3.09Jun 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$3.10Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$3.09Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$1.15Jun 13, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$0.35Jun 13, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$1.95Jun 13, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$0.45Jun 13, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$1.55Jun 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$1.55Jun 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$3.90Jun 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$1.55Jun 12, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$1.55Jun 12, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.43Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.01Jun 10, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1.01Jun 10, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.