Insubstantial-Firewall
0x1260b662a77c756af9d3822d5e016b6027a36da2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-191.01
Realised
$-7.02
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?
218 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 21?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 11?
179 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 20?
100 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?
95 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 20?
92 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 11?
73 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?
70 shares @ 95.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-66.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?
66 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
63 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 12?$1.68Aug 11, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?$77.93Jul 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?$0.10Jul 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?$76.04Jul 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 11?$1.53Jul 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?$2.10Jul 2, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$81.52Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$77.44May 30, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$61.68May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$0.06May 22, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$0.08May 22, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$59.94May 22, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?$72.50May 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?$69.60May 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 11?$2.87May 10, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMTulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Rice Owls$0.00Apr 25, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13?$2.14Apr 12, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 28?$73.11Apr 11, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 23?$0.00Mar 31, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMBethesda Lion Angels vs. San Diego Toreros$0.00Mar 29, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $29.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 05:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.