Shoddy-Effectiveness-Roster
0x12617ea9cee08597c6cf0c1b9607194f3b05b398
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$162.26
Total PnL
$-880.77
Realised
$3.38
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- ATLANTA BRAVES
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
62 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$25.69
$-0.31
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
64 shares @ 39.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$25.21
$0.21
- UNDER
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
44 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$24.78
$-0.22
- UNDER
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
49 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$24.75
$-0.24
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
82 shares @ 12.2¢·now 12.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?
76 shares @ 13.2¢·now 13.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
60 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
68 shares @ 14.8¢·now 14.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
73 shares @ 9.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.57
$-2.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.09May 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.11May 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.26May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.26May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.26May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.25May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$58.46May 17, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$45.15May 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$45.26May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$41.47May 17, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$35.67May 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$15.16May 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$15.17May 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$10.13May 17, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.00May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.80May 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.60May 17, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$59.09May 17, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$52.44May 17, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$1.02May 17, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $53.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".