Satisfied-Washer
0x12637e8ddfb9f4aa4b8f25ec96837fb0f50bb826
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.1K
Realised
$396.92
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
1026 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
900 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
801 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
745 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-396.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
702 shares @ 71.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
649 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
588 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
586 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
542 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
541 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$111.16Jul 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$100.77Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$204.60Jul 21, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$104.97Jul 21, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$81.90Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$101.19Jul 21, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.01Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$158.67Jul 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$102.92Jul 21, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$107.09Jul 21, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$101.09Jul 21, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$104.14Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$100.35Jul 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$158.64Jul 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$103.01Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$51.15Jul 21, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.27Jul 21, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$13.61Jul 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$10.27Jul 21, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$53.19Jul 21, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $68.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.