0x1264db8716925debd3a1cbe02ad12fae2253baad
0x1264db8716925debd3a1cbe02ad12fae2253baad
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$115.33
Total PnL
$39.04
Realised
$18.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?
107 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$107.35
$18.25
- YES
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$4.63
$3.15
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.36
$1.38
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.56Jan 25, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.01Jan 25, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.48Jan 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.98Jan 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.98Jan 24, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04Jan 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.98Jan 21, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.98Jan 13, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?$0.00Jan 13, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?$0.00Jan 10, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?$0.00Jan 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?$0.00Jan 10, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?$89.10Jan 6, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".